Global longitudinal strain for prediction of mortality in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and aortic stenosis patients: two sides of the same coin

E. Ravenna, G. Locorotondo, L. Manfredonia, G. Diana, M. Filice, F. Graziani, A.M. Leone, C. Aurigemma, E. Romagnoli, F. Burzotta, C. Trani, M. Massetti, A. Lombardo, G.A. Lanza

Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy. gabryloc@hotmail.it

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• Cardiovascular Diseases

OBJECTIVE: Global longitudinal strain (GLS) predicts major adverse events in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and aortic stenosis (AS). Different cut-off values and different end-points have been proposed for prognostic stratification. We aimed to verify whether a single GLS cut-off value can be used to identify increased risk of all-cause death in STEMI and AS.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: One-hundred- seventeen successfully treated first STEMI (age 63.8±12.5 yrs, 70% men) and 64 AS (age 80.3±6.9 yrs, 44% men) patients, undergoing echocardiography before discharge and before AS treatment, respectively, were retrospectively analyzed. GLS was analyzed, together with pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP), Killip class and Genereux stage. End-point was all-cause death at 6-month follow-up.

RESULTS: All-cause death occurred in 4 (3.4%) STEMI and 5 (7.8%) AS patients (p=ns). AS patients who died had GLS similar to died STEMI patients (9.7±2.1 vs. 11.3±1.7, p=ns). GLS cut-off ≤12% predicted death with 89% sensitivity and 70% specificity (AUC 0.84, p=0.001): STEMI and AS patients with GLS ≤12% had worse survival than STEMI and AS patients with GLS >12% (log-rank p=0.001). At multivariate Cox regression analysis, lower GLS values independently predicted death (HR 0.667, 95% CI 0.451-0.986, p=0.042), and the prediction model was improved when GLS was added to old age, significant comorbidities, PASP and Killip/Genereux stage (χ2 6.691 vs. 1.364, p=0.010).

CONCLUSIONS: Died patients with STEMI and AS show similar values of GLS. A unique cut-off value of GLS can reliably be used to stratify the risk of all-cause death at 6-month follow-up in both two clinical settings.

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